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Search: Posts Made By: roflwaffle
Forum: Fossil Fuel Free 11-24-2019, 12:31 AM
Replies: 592
Views: 42,838
Posted By roflwaffle
That sounds right. McKinsey put the exterior at...

That sounds right. McKinsey put the exterior at 11% of the parts cost, and I imagine it's a much larger portion of labor costs.
...
Forum: Fossil Fuel Free 04-20-2019, 02:54 AM
Replies: 174
Views: 16,999
Posted By roflwaffle
I'll bet you $40,000 I can order and receive the...

I'll bet you $40,000 I can order and receive the $35,000 Model 3 in less than 18 months. :D
Forum: Fossil Fuel Free 04-07-2019, 01:59 PM
Replies: 1,370
Views: 140,561
Posted By roflwaffle
I'm guessing Tesla's redoing the S/X right now,...

I'm guessing Tesla's redoing the S/X right now, and has been since January of this year. While it's possible the layoffs, reduction in work hours for the S/X lines, S/X prices increases, all at the...
Forum: Fossil Fuel Free 04-07-2019, 01:55 PM
Replies: 1,370
Views: 140,561
Posted By roflwaffle
In that case it took Amazon 15 years to be...

In that case it took Amazon 15 years to be profitable (founded in 1994).

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Amazon_(company)

Which is in line with Tesla (founded in 2003).
...
Forum: Fossil Fuel Free 04-07-2019, 01:53 PM
Replies: 174
Views: 16,999
Posted By roflwaffle
I wouldn't say Tesla has no intention of selling...

I wouldn't say Tesla has no intention of selling a $35k at this point. Considering how different the interior is, my guess is they need more time to line everything up on their end and on their...
Forum: Fossil Fuel Free 03-27-2019, 03:24 AM
Replies: 1,370
Views: 140,561
Posted By roflwaffle
That's better than I thought, but they and the...

That's better than I thought, but they and the rest of the industry still have a ways to go.

On the plus side, Tesla pushing their costs/margins down should force other manufacturers to discount...
Forum: Fossil Fuel Free 03-25-2019, 12:12 AM
Replies: 1,370
Views: 140,561
Posted By roflwaffle
Hyundai and Kia only sold 12,992 EVs worldwide in...

Hyundai and Kia only sold 12,992 EVs worldwide in 2017, and double that is still only about 26,000 EVs in 2018, which is roughly a month of Tesla sales from Q4 of last year.



Hyundai-Kia Motors...
Forum: Fossil Fuel Free 03-23-2019, 11:40 PM
Replies: 1,370
Views: 140,561
Posted By roflwaffle
I wouldn't go that far. They've certainly made...

I wouldn't go that far. They've certainly made the jump from short range compliance EVs to medium range compliance EVs, but those are still compliance cars. When they make a serious attempt at...
Forum: Fossil Fuel Free 03-16-2019, 12:04 AM
Replies: 174
Views: 16,999
Posted By roflwaffle
I could see them spending most of their remaining...

I could see them spending most of their remaining cash, but I don't see it as a negative. Going from building a few thousand cars per year (2012) to building 80k+ cars/year (2016) required ~$4.1...
Forum: Fossil Fuel Free 03-15-2019, 11:41 PM
Replies: 1,370
Views: 140,561
Posted By roflwaffle
IIRC, max regen in the 3 is something like...

IIRC, max regen in the 3 is something like 60-70kW compared to max output of 200+kW, and avoiding brake use takes more self control than most have. :thumbup:
Forum: Fossil Fuel Free 03-08-2019, 11:55 PM
Replies: 174
Views: 16,999
Posted By roflwaffle
That's almost certainly a photoshop. The teaser...

That's almost certainly a photoshop. The teaser pick on Tesla's site doesn't match any of it's lines.

https://www.tesla.com/modely
Forum: Fossil Fuel Free 03-08-2019, 11:52 PM
Replies: 1,370
Views: 140,561
Posted By roflwaffle
Regen's effectively gone by 5mph, so the brakes...

Regen's effectively gone by 5mph, so the brakes get used on every stop.

All the other stuff will need repair eventually, but in over a half million miles with three cars I've only had an issue...
Forum: Fossil Fuel Free 03-02-2019, 09:56 PM
Replies: 1,370
Views: 140,561
Posted By roflwaffle
It'll be expensive, but I don't think it has to...

It'll be expensive, but I don't think it has to break the bank. A quick search suggests the Y will be between $200 million and $600 million for tooling. Apparently lower volume tooling can also be...
Forum: Fossil Fuel Free 03-02-2019, 01:27 AM
Replies: 1,370
Views: 140,561
Posted By roflwaffle
The Shanghai factory is mostly being financed...

The Shanghai factory is mostly being financed locally, and the Semi and Roadster are likely going to be lower volume, especially initially, so I don't think they'll have trouble there. They'll spend...
Forum: Fossil Fuel Free 01-25-2019, 01:06 AM
Replies: 1,370
Views: 140,561
Posted By roflwaffle
Also from the link. From the...

Also from the link.



From the supplement I linked earlier.



https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1318605/000119312514077288/d678614d424b5.htm
Forum: Fossil Fuel Free 11-23-2018, 12:36 AM
Replies: 1,370
Views: 140,561
Posted By roflwaffle
10x faster? The 3 right now can do 500mph at...

10x faster? The 3 right now can do 500mph at lower SOCs.
...
Forum: Fossil Fuel Free 11-02-2018, 07:57 PM
Replies: 1,370
Views: 140,561
Posted By roflwaffle
The IIHS hasn't tested the 3 yet AFAIK. ...

The IIHS hasn't tested the 3 yet AFAIK.

https://www.iihs.org/iihs/ratings/vehicle/v/tesla/model-3-4-door-sedan/2018

The 3 has the "lowest probability of injury" of any car tested by NHTSA.
Forum: Fossil Fuel Free 10-30-2018, 09:51 PM
Replies: 1,370
Views: 140,561
Posted By roflwaffle
I think the NHTSA was more for other media...

I think the NHTSA was more for other media outlets running with Tesla's statement than them rapping Tesla's knuckles. They're just saying that they don't have any categories beyond the 5-star...
Forum: Fossil Fuel Free 10-30-2018, 09:05 PM
Replies: 1,370
Views: 140,561
Posted By roflwaffle
That's all from the April Autoline video AFAIK,...

That's all from the April Autoline video AFAIK, which was from a 2017 car.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CpCrkO1x-Qo

Leave it up to Bloomberg to spin it into FUD. :rolleyes:
Forum: Fossil Fuel Free 08-23-2018, 06:38 PM
Replies: 55
Views: 4,119
Posted By roflwaffle
Tesla could lose business to Nissan when they...

Tesla could lose business to Nissan when they release the 250 mile Leaf. The big unknown to me is whether Nissan will start using better temperature management. If they follow the same path they did...
Forum: Fossil Fuel Free 07-24-2018, 03:26 AM
Replies: 1,370
Views: 140,561
Posted By roflwaffle
The fit and finish is IMO better than a Prius or...

The fit and finish is IMO better than a Prius or similar (Insight/etc...). There were a similar number of small defects. The 3 has some seals that could be massaged into place better, and the Prius...
Forum: Fossil Fuel Free 07-21-2018, 02:14 PM
Replies: 1,370
Views: 140,561
Posted By roflwaffle
Quality is almost always going to be worse...

Quality is almost always going to be worse because they're doing public betas with their investors, employees, and select owners, but that's why they limit release AFAIK. They're also more likely to...
Forum: Fossil Fuel Free 07-20-2018, 09:20 PM
Replies: 1,370
Views: 140,561
Posted By roflwaffle
The odd thing about this whole situation is that...

The odd thing about this whole situation is that it's only a fiasco compared to what Elon said, not compared to EVs from other manufacturers. For instance, the Bolt was launched 20-months ago and...
Forum: Fossil Fuel Free 11-24-2017, 03:48 PM
Replies: 48
Views: 7,273
Posted By roflwaffle
Ideally, someone will get a Model X. If they...

Ideally, someone will get a Model X. If they won't, a giant Tesla pickup at ~500Wh/mile is better than an F-650 at ~10mpg (~3500Wh/mile).
Forum: Hybrids 11-13-2017, 10:40 PM
Replies: 21
Views: 4,940
Posted By roflwaffle
Ditto on the Bridgestones. Costco had a crazy...

Ditto on the Bridgestones. Costco had a crazy good sale on them a while back. I think we paid $260 out the door for a set.
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