View Single Post
Old 04-29-2009, 01:25 PM   #4 (permalink)
jamesqf
Master EcoModder
 
Join Date: Jun 2008
Location: Earth
Posts: 5,209
Thanks: 225
Thanked 811 Times in 594 Posts
I think he's wrong, for a lot of reasons, but one in particular that wasn't even mentioned: the chicken & egg problem of battery manufacturing. You obviously need batteries for (electric) hybrids and EVs, but who's going to invest billions in battery manufacturing plants unless they're fairly sure of a market for their product? And who's going to build a car that relies on batteries, unless they're sure that someone's going to be making those batteries?

Notebook computers & other personal electronics made mild hybrids economically possible by first creating a market for expensive but lightweight NiMH & Lion batteries. Mild hybrids in turn create a bigger market for batteries, while new technology & economies of scale bring down their price. This makes it economically feasible to put more batteries in each new hybrid, which in turn brings the price down further...
  Reply With Quote