Quote:
Originally Posted by redpoint5
The failure of one prediction, or even a whole series of predictions, has no bearing on the veracity of an argument. Doomsday is inevitable, but fortunately those events usually take a very long time.
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Well, kind of except a lot of the predictions had a timescale attached and they didn't match reality in the timescale chosen - because they were based on models, and models are flawed.
There is a nice new
blog about this called "All Models are Wrong" which (ironically) is run by a modeller - one to watch if you are interested in the science and not just campaigning nonsense.
Even though the scientist running this blog thinks models are/could be good she has also banned name calling, just in case anything thinks I'm sensitive or something.
