Well of course the price will go up but how much? Check these links:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Arctic_...ng_controversy
https://www.cia.gov/library/publicat.../2173rank.html
https://www.cia.gov/library/publicat.../2174rank.html
According to the Wiki link. Drilling in ANWR (the holy grail of the right wing we need to drill more domestic oil movement) will supply 5% of domestic needs for 12 years. U.S. consumption is 20 Mil barrels/day so ANWR is good for 1 Mil. World oil production is ballpark 80 Mil. Drilling in ANWR will increase world supply by 1.25%. What is that going to do for your pump prices?
By the way, the 30% number was off the top of my head, it might be 40% but that still doesnt change anything.