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Old 02-24-2015, 03:59 PM   #28 (permalink)
Gasoline Fumes
Too many cars
 
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Join Date: Oct 2009
Location: New York State
Posts: 1,601

CRXFi - '88 Honda CRX XFi

Insight 256 - '00 Honda Insight
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Gen-1 Insights

Insight 5342 (no IMA) - '00 Honda Insight
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Quote:
Originally Posted by RedDevil View Post
I can break it down as simple as this:
The chance that your first choice is right is 1/3.
The chance that the car is behind one of the other two doors, of which one will be opened to reveal a goat, is 2/3.

The two doors you did not choose still have a combined 2/3 chance of having the car behind them. But when you know which of those two does not have the car, you know the other has the full 2/3 chance.

Got it? No?
Thanks! Now I finally get it! Did I win a car?
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2000 Honda Insight
2000 Honda Insight
2000 Honda Insight
2006 Honda Insight (parts car)
1988 Honda CRXFi
1994 Geo Metro

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