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My wife had one just like that blow out Sunday week. The damage happened a while ago, but the exposed underply didn't seem to handle the UV/salt exposure (maybe grit working itself between the plies where the flap was?) and ruptured after about 6 months. Luckily it was small, so it just kind of went flat over about 15 seconds while driving.
In the future, I'll be replacing any tire with sidewall damage like that.
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