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Old 05-20-2015, 10:46 PM   #1 (permalink)
ME_Andy
Growin a stash
 
Join Date: Jun 2014
Location: Austin TX
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My predictions on OPEC and oil prices

I have to eat my hat regarding my earlier estimation that average US gas prices would never again exceed $3/gal. It looks like the low oil prices have driven so many US drilling rigs away that gas prices will surely take a hard bounce.

Now here's my most recent theory: I expect OPEC to drive oil prices down, then let them bounce back periodically, like a sine wave. By doing so, they will keep their average price/gallon high enough to cover their bills. But the smaller oil producers who don't have strong cash reserves are going to be wrung out of the market on the downswings.

I think this game might work for a few years, maybe even a decade. But eventually, I still think electric cars and higher fuel efficiency standards will slowly kill off oil.

Your thoughts?

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