Quote:
Originally Posted by oil pan 4
If you do a few creative predictable things like trade out stocks for safe haven bond funds in September or October then buy back your stocks in or around the very end of the year if consumer spending appears to be on track. You miss the traditional 4th quarter down turn.
Just doing that every year can double your return.
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And how much do you pay in capital gains tax from all that frequent trading?
I'm also more than a little skeptical about the general idea. First, it smells like the "we've had a long run of heads, so tails must come up soon" sort of gambling system. Second, if it does in fact work, and is so simple, why aren't all the fund managers doing it>