Quote:
Originally Posted by oil pan 4
The last time my house in Virginia almost flooded was 1960. If 20% of what they said was true then I should have had a boat instead of a car in my drive way.
So because the ipcc can admit some predictions were wrong and don't preach about immediate impending disaster they are fake?
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An example which has been cited is the IPCC Report#5.
40-climate models were collected and an algorithm was written to process all 40 simultaneously.
The output created a range of outcomes and probabilities for each.
Since the IPCC can't yell 'FIRE' in the theater,they choose scenarios with higher probabilities and confidence.They're not out to freak people out,especially the world markets.
Probability is really all they have.Just like drilling for oil.The geologist will do the best they can,but you still might end up with a dry hole.