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Old 10-14-2018, 04:53 AM   #3211 (permalink)
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Originally Posted by oil pan 4 View Post
Now the weather channel is blaming "climate change" for this years hurricanes.

But I noticed 3 things about this segment.

They never said "man made climate change" specifically, which is different...

What about all the hurricanes we didn't have between 2008 and 2015?

Then the 1885 to 1930 hurricane anomaly?
We had more hurricanes, stronger making land fall more often in those 45 years than the next 87 or 88 years.
So how's dat work?
The stupid "deniers" would really like to know.
If you take a sample of random values for groups of unusually high or low values on average you will find several of them, especially if you carefully put the boundaries. Random is not average. However, if you determine boundaries without knowledge of (like before generating) the data then you won't have many outlier group averages.

It is the way statistics work. Before observing the data you will have to determine how to measure it, andwhere the boundaries lie to draw conclusions as to avoid bias.

Then, the 2008-2015 period did have several deadly hurricanes, like Irene (2011) and Isaac (2012), but as luck would have it they degraded to tropical storms once they hit American soil.
Haiyan (2013) was one of the worst hurricanes ever, killing more than 5,000 people.
So if there were no hurricanes in 2008-2015 that was just luck and location, or boundary selection if you like. They were there all right, just 'not here'.

Except for 50 billion damage causing Sandy (2012) of course.
Maybe the deniers should watch the news more often?

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