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Old 10-17-2018, 12:37 PM   #3245 (permalink)
aerohead
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how more hurricanes

Quote:
Originally Posted by RedDevil View Post
Personally I don't see how climate change would cause more hurricanes. If both the sea and the air heat up equally there isn't more power in the system to cause hurricanes.
So I'm not convinced there is a relationship. Global warming is a fact, but hurricanes may not be the best instrument to measure it.

To filter on just landfall hurricanes reduces the sample size and increases ambiguity - do narrow passes count, and when? Also, each hurricane takes energy out of the system, without the non-landfall hurricanes energy would build up to extreme levels.
The effect often spreads out over very large areas so each hurricane anywhere in the world should count.
In the absence of shear winds,it is 80-degree F water,or warmer,which feeds heat energy into these storms.As air and sea-surface temperatures increase,the available latent energy for storm intensification increases in lock step.The rapid intensification of Hurricane Michael is a perfect example of this dynamic.
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