Quote:
Originally Posted by redpoint5
Scientists do nothing but guess; in fact that's what probability is. It's a best guess based on incomplete data and an incomplete understanding of that data.
It's the best we can manage given our infinitely limited understanding, though.
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I fell compelled to comment on your comment.
Had you ever actually read an original scientific research paper, it would likely be impossible for you to make a blanket statement such as you have,painting the entire scientific community with such a broad brush, implying that, with zero investment on their part,they just sit around and pull numbers out of their backside.
Earth is an open system,and by definition,impossible to know completely.This fact is not lost on either the scientists,nor the modelers.
Science is about mathematics.They do their research,collect their data,and try to do the best they can with it,since free-market capitalists never did it,going ahead and putting addictive drugs on the market without first doing top-level clinical trials,to prove safety first,well on their way now to making the entire planet a Superfund site.
Since you abhor formal education,and fail to demonstrate any command of real climate science,or interest in actually investigating the bona fides,you're hardly in a position to know anything about what scientists know,and how scientists may actually have a very good command of knowledge about climate issues.
It would be a mistake to project your infinitely limited understanding into the debate, as if it reflected the knowledge on the part of the scientific community.You're way out of your depth.