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Old 06-26-2019, 01:31 PM   #6076 (permalink)
aerohead
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best model

Quote:
Originally Posted by redpoint5 View Post
You're confusing "guess" with "arbitrary selection". A guess relies on the best model of understanding a person has, regardless of how well that model is constructed. Arbitrary selection is to choose something based on no criteria.

To that end, science is fallible, as there is no certainty. There are simply better and worse guesses.

Meteorology is a field of science, yet their predictions (guesses) are based on their best attempt at understanding the variables given the data available. The fact that there will always be room to improve upon those predictions suggests an infinite amount of data and understanding exists.

A formal process for guessing isn't necessarily more accurate than an informal method of guessing, but the advantage is that it's largely reproducible.
How about,you present the science that the fossil-fuel industry came up with in,say,1880,which proved that with the use of their products,there would be no impact to the planet.They're the 'experts' in their industry.They should know 'everything' about their product.Yes? Just like Radium watch dials.Heroin.Opium.Coca leaf.Thalidomide.Asbestos.Cigarettes.CFCs.Carbon tetrachloride,Red Dye#2,Agent Orange,Oxycontin?
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