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What is the overall implication of the model imprecision? That's what we need to understand.
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"The increased carbon dioxide in the atmosphere since the start of the Industrial Age is estimated to produce an extra 3.7 watts of energy per square meter. “The error here is half of that, so in that sense it becomes substantial,” Porporato said."
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They are staying within the lanes of projected increase, just veering to one side. This is becoming less fun for me, 'by orders of magnitude'.
Remember how you can go snow-blind on the Bonneville Salt Flats? That's Fresnel.