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Old 02-06-2020, 05:23 PM   #93 (permalink)
ldjessee00
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If they can roll out technology improvements to ICE engines faster than they have traditionally... Fuel injection was used in aircraft since 1902... but Mercedes started to experiment in the early 50s and made it into a production car in 1955. The 1990 Subaru Justy was the last carburetor auto sold in the US.

I am trying to decide if EVs are like horse vs automobile or radio and TV... or the slower roll out of fuel injection.

Now we are in the midst of the transition period.

Automobiles were experimented with and limited production (as most things were), but when Ford's Model T assembly line got up and going, the transition was much faster.
(TV happened in the early 50s, by the end of 1952, 20 million homes had a TV, which the population was 157 million).

With the Model 3 up to high volume production, will we see a mass adoption like TV and the automobile? Or will it be more like fuel injection and have a longer roll out?

I am hoping for the shorter transition, that more and more 'traditional' auto makers will come out with EV models (beyond just compliance).

But given how long they take to make changes, to roll out technology unless mandated by government (usually fighting with lobbyists the entire way)... or if their competitors do so and they stop being able to sell cars...

So, if they take 10 to 40 years to roll out improvements of ICE engines, then not so much.
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