Quote:
Originally Posted by freebeard
"We KNOW that the climate is changing, due mainly to inclusive of human activity."
To claim to know more might be hubris. |
I've not seen where any researcher uses language like 'know.' In the conclusions section of papers and reports,you'll find them referring to confidence levels and degrees of probability that, what they're observing lay outside the boundary of any natural variability that can be deduced from the scatter-plot of current data,using the highest level of known statistical tools.We can't 'know' the future until we experience it in real time.The models just give us a reasonable glimpse of what we might expect given the limitations of the simulation.Just like COVID-19.Same tools.Attempting to factor 'Patient-Zero',all the asymptomatic 'Typhoid Marys' acting as viral vectors,spatial and temporal distributions,identification,shelf-lives,mitigation scenarios,logistics,etc.. It will be whatever it turns out to be,either with intervention,or abandonment to let it run its natural course.