According to
https://covid19.healthdata.org/united-states-of-america, the U.S. peaked four days ago for new cases and deaths one day ago, in New York cases peaked on the 8th and deaths on the 10th, and Italy peaked cases on March 28th and deaths on March 27th.
It shows Italy being down to zero on May First.
Great. Let me check the numbers. Don't worry, you won't need to wait.
Deaths nationwide are definitely slowing down. It grew on average 12.53% between March 17th and April 3rd. It has averaged 7.05% since then, so that is progress. It was 8.01% on April 4th and 5.84% today.
Crazy. When I loaded my spreadsheet it said that it lost the latest version. This one has not been updated in six days. It estimated 2,021,790 cases for today.
We had 2,000,728.
However, that wasn't going off of my grand average, it was my guess on how fast new cases would decrease. I updated my spreadsheet for Arizona, New York, Italy, and Earth. The line of best fit shows Arizona peaking April 16th, New York peaking April 18th, Italy and the world peaking on the 22nd.
Yeah, I will stick with healthdata.org's estimates, either way, we're all going to live!
Is anyone else suddenly getting logged out way more often?