[redpoint5]

Those who say we're only going to have 60k deaths are wrong. This is going to continue for another year minimum. Those who say we're going to see a million deaths are also wrong. I'll throw 200k out as a number, but it will take a year to get there.

We're in for multiple waves of sheltering and shutdowns. Hopefully the shutdowns will be more targeted, such as senior homes and other at risk demographics rather than everyone.

It's possible we're in for multiple strains too. If immunity doesn't protect against the other strains, we might get further waves of shutdowns and a continuation of infection spread and deaths.

Anyone else notice 6k deaths on Monday? Looks like nobody wanted to pull the plug before Easter.

Finally, Scott Adams mentioned a better metric of the impact of this virus isn't deaths, but a change in life expectancy. Life expectancy is a proxy for overall health.