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Since there are a dozen or so models,each with different outcomes and probabilities,I'm unsure that 'fail' is even linguistically appropriate in association with them.Observed data will turn out to be whatever is observed,and then climatologists can examine the 'fit'.
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There is one model that you reject. Vehemently.
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.Without freedom of speech we wouldn't know who all the idiots are. -- anonymous poster
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.Three conspiracy theorists walk into a bar --You can't say that is a coincidence.
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