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Old 05-05-2020, 01:44 PM   #180 (permalink)
redpoint5
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... and really the main criteria is if medical resources are overburdened or not. Increasing cases isn't an indication of a failed plan to increase social mobility as long as medical resources are adequate.

People like to talk in pointless terms, such as which direction new cases are moving, or number of deaths. Important metrics are things like utilization of health resources, and life expectancy. If life expectancy drops significantly due to this disease, we'll know it was a significant problem. If life expectancy doesn't drop much, it may indicate we overestimated the problem (which is required initially when something is novel). We won't know what happened to life expectancy until this pandemic is history, but we will have it as a metric to evaluate our response in hindsight.
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