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Old 01-24-2021, 05:23 PM   #139 (permalink)
IamIan
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Quote:
Originally Posted by freebeard View Post
IamIan: So you're saying that people die from future shock? AKA copelessness?
At the extreme end .. It would be a indirect cause .. but yes.

When things change soo fast that a person is just not able to adapt fast enough .. it can actually be the cause of what ends up latter killing them.

It's indirect .. because it isn't the lack of coping / adapting that directly kills them .. but it can be that the lack of coping / adapting can prevent them from still being able to get the core essentials for life (air, water, food , shelter).

I think it is far more common in today's age (in 1st world countries like USA) for people to just go past the point of the amount of change they like .. they start to actively spend their time and money to oppose the change.

Not just humans .. it happens to animals , plants, insects , etc .. for non-humans at the whole species level , we call it 'habitat loss' ... not being able to cope fast enough with the changes one is exposed to.

Quote:
Originally Posted by freebeard View Post
You're seeing a decreasing rate of increase. I see a society at a local maxima, sometimes the path forward is downhill.
I see a decreasing rate almost everywhere I have ever taken any amount of time to look into it.

Some examples:
The 1st one's I noticed was computers .. which were historically held on a pedestal of rapid increasing slope , faster and faster rate of improvement .. they were the basis of philosophies like 'the singularity is near' .. but looking past the hype .. the data shows something very different .. the days of increasing slope of faster and faster changes in computers ended many years ago .. They are still getting faster/better but the rate of change is slowing .. the slope is decreasing .. From 1995 Pentium 1 to 2000 Pentium 4 there was about a ~51x faster processing rate per second , over ~5 years .. Now sure progress / improvement has continued .. and today's CPUs can reach up to speeds like ~77x faster than that Pentium 4 from 21 years ago .. but ... about ~51x in ~5 years .. vs about ~77x in ~21 years .. change yes .. but the rate of change is slowing .. and continues to slow .. if it had even stayed linear at the ~51x per 5 year cycle rate ..that would be more than 4 such periods of ~51x (aka about ~7million times faster) .. but we didn't see that linear rate of increase .. we have seen a decreasing rate of increase .. a lowering of the slope .. and all indicators are that the rate of increase continues to slow.

Not just CPUs .. battery tech too .. from 1970s to 1990s available (not just lab prototypes) battery wh/kg roughly tripled from about ~40wh/kg up to ~100wh/kg .. 20 years later by 2010 it improved .. but not my 3x .. only about ~2x up to about ~200wh/kg .. today 2021 .. 10 years later 1/2 way through the next 20 year cycle and where is the available battery improvement at about ~260wh/kg Latest Tesla Model 3 .. aka only a 30% increase in 10 years .. improvement sure .. but the rate of improvement is slowing down.

etc ...
etc ...

Technology is still changing / improving .. but that rate of change is slowing down.
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