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Originally Posted by Isaac Zachary
And again, I don't see the small jumps to be all that exciting. You say safety is increasing yet deaths per million miles is actually getting worse statistically.
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I was just looking at
this earlier. The highest per capita fatalities occurred around 1937 at 29 per 100k population. The lowest occurred in the early 1900s, because nobody had a car. The lowest in the last 200 years has been the last 2 decades. We're at 12 deaths per 100k despite the fact that cars are insanely faster than they were in 1937, and everyone owns one.
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Efficiency is increasing, yet I got 60mpg in a 1985 VW with zero modifications. What efficiency increases are we talking about on EV's, other than Aptera, and what is the actual benefit? ...I was able to afford a Nissan Leaf once. Maybe some day there will be cheap Teslas and EV pickups, but for the forseeable future these vehicles are way out of my price range
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Jason already shared this graphic showing vehicles getting way more fuel efficient, way more powerful, and growing a bit in size and weight. Just because you owned a dinky car that was more fuel efficient back in the day doesn't mean there hasn't been improvement.
How much did you pay for the Leaf? Back in 2020, a 3 year old Chevy Bolt could be purchased for $13k. A new one could be had for $22k. It has 3x more range than your Leaf, and a lot more power. The battery also doesn't rapidly degrade. I'd say those improvements in the EV world in just 6 years is pretty exciting. We're barely into the 2nd decade of EVs, and look how far we've come.
Vehicles are unaffordable now due to the global economy, and to a much lesser extent, domestic policy. You can't predict markets, but you can prepare for them.