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Old 08-30-2023, 08:58 PM   #21 (permalink)
redpoint5
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Quote:
Originally Posted by freebeard View Post
I made the post at #8, but it didn't take. So here it is again
Thanks, I meant to listen, but with infinity competing for my attention...

Write's Law would only be applicable to the cost of the battery, as everything else is either low cost, or a mature process.

Then there's the fact that EV production isn't doubling every year, so that isn't a good assumption.

EVs becoming more affordable over time is precisely why Elon jumped in when he did.

All of the comments seemed to be directionally correct, but I don't buy the optimistic assumptions made.

EVs are likely cheaper from TCO standpoint now. It's that upfront sticker shock people can't get over.

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