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Old 11-19-2008, 06:28 PM   #182 (permalink)
roflwaffle
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Duffman View Post
Roflwaffle,
Again continued from the bottom up.

I’ve let this distributed grid go on long enough, you need to pick your battle here, are you going to generate only in good locales or are you truly going to distribute and generate everywhere including some really crappy sites. See links for graphic example of my next point.

Wind Energy Resource Atlas of the United States

Now take those wind speeds from the calculations in post 78 and find your 42% sites and your 33% sites (8.4 and 5.8 m/s wind). Are they not geographically clustered? Does the bulk of the power fall in one time zone? Are there not great areas of the eastern portion of the country that are completely unsuitable?

Check out the seasonal variations:
Wind Energy Resource Atlas of the United States

This was the same thing that I was trying to reflect in the Danish data, that was not a fluke.
What you need to look at are the certainty ratings of class three/four wind resources, and then show that it's impossible to generate enough for baseload via high certainty class 3/4 wind resources. The unsuitability of a particular potion of the states doesn't matter if we have a distributed renewable grid. If you want to talk about local renewable grids then the lack of available wind resources matters, but again, that's not a distributed renewable grid.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Duffman View Post
Now lets look at solar:
America's Solar Energy Potential

Again it’s largely geographically clustered (again time zone issues) and again the N. East is totally piss poor. I don’t have an American link for seasonal variation but I think a Canadian one really illustrates it better anyway.
Again, if you're looking at local renewable energy, having piss-poor generating potential in the NE is a problem, but that's not a distributed renewable grid. The time zone issues are only a problem for the western states, and they would only be insurmountable if there weren't any suitable resources available to pick up the slack at that time.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Duffman View Post
Yes the Ice storms are a result of T&D failure, natural disasters happen. There were people in Quebec that were without power for 40 days, most at least 10-20. My uncle who lives on the island of Montreal (big big city) was around 20 days. This happened because Hydro-Quebec generates far away from the consumption. And yes Hydro-Quebec does have a HVDC line in its system.

Again more to follow.
Um, d00d, I'm pretty sure the T&D failures were the result of the ice storms, unless those hosers let their superscientists loose. That said, don't cut corners on T&D. Build it properly and foreseeable natural disasters won't be a problem.
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