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A zeroth-order approximation
I thought I'd found a solution to the problem of 'rules of thumb' rubbing thin-skinned individuals the wrong way. But the upshot was that the thread in Aerodynamics was locked. I choose to share here instead to spare the feelings of the last poster.
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Order_of_approximation Quote:
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We could start a hurt feelings sub forum to aerodynamics.
It's really a good thing I didn't bother to notice that one till after it was locked. |
I took me a while to figure out why there was no Quick Reply field. My first reaction? Sorry, not sorry; let's take it to The Lounge, where you-know-who doesn't go.
I will point out that zeroth order would be a Wild *ss Guess. First order is more appropriate for Rule of Thumb. What it comes down to is the significant digits. 4000 vs 3900 vs 3914 or 0.1 vs 0.01 vs 0.001, etc. So zeroth order has one significant digit that could be off by an order of magnitude. |
To use the topic that provoked this as an example, I would equate "rule of thumb" in this context with "zeroth-order approximation." If I measure a 5% fuel economy improvement on my already low-drag, CVT, electric-assist (all of which are differences from the cars which generated the RoT) car from a change and I assume that means I improved drag 10%, I have no basis on which to guess that. Maybe my car actually needs a 20% improvement in drag to get a 5% fuel economy improvement at 55mph, in which case increased resolution of the 10% guess doesn't improve its accuracy--it's still just a guess. I have absolutely no way of knowing on my car specifically without measuring something else to corroborate or disprove, and I could be way off as a result.
Put another way: If the RoT was a first-order approximation, we would have to know that drag improvement between 5%-14% on any car results in 5% fuel economy improvement, and we simply don't know that. The friction wasn't with the terminology; it's with the concept. |
I'd say the concept is meta to the content.
Like the programmer at the airport that kept counting his luggage and coming up one short. (Off-by-one error joke) en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Order_of_approximation#Colloquial_usage Quote:
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Quote:
(Harry Potter reference) |
Systematic wild a##ed guess?
I ve seem him here, with a zero looked at couple of posts, BTW. So much for a working ignore function. |
I appreciate this. I'm going to start using this in common, everyday speech.
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I just like to say 'zeroth'. :)
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Well it does cause a certian academic aura to your conversation.
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