Troy -
You bring up a valid point, there. One that many try to ignore, or are ignorant of.
One thing that isn't considered though, is that the tipping point moves further into the black with each advancement in eco-technology.
Let's say right now that it would take 400 trillion trillion barrels of oil to make the whole world enough crap-stuff-junk to completely remove any need for oil. That figure only takes into account the oil necessary to do all that, ALL AT ONCE.
Now, lets say that in 15 years, we've built enough crap-stuff-junk to make it so that the remainder only takes another 100 trillion trillion barrels of oil to produce the same effect... We haven't necessarily made 300 trillion trillion barrels' worth of crap-stuff-junk, but we're using the energy from the ones that we have already made, which is helping to make more.
Of course, this shows that the trend that people currently are viewing as linear is actually a curve! The more we do, the less oil we need to continue!
We're still pioneering a new world order, as it were, but even if we're right at the brink of the tipping point, every time a solar panel is built and installed, every time some kid learns to drive correctly, or better yet, ride a bike to the store down the street, we've pushed that tipping point further back into the horizon.
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