Thread: Eaarth
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Old 10-29-2010, 08:11 AM   #47 (permalink)
Arragonis
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Quote:
Originally Posted by NeilBlanchard View Post
Do you believe that Global Climate Change is real,
Yes, the climate is changing. It has been doing so pretty much as long as the Earth has been around. We have historical records and events showing both warmer and colder periods in history. Reconstructions show both a flat trend until recently (the Hockey Stick - which is contraversial because of the methods used) and both the MWP and LIA being detected in proxies.

The peak and trough temperatures during those periods and where they may have happened are also the subject of debate.

There is too much uncertainty for this to be a proven thing.

Quote:
Originally Posted by NeilBlanchard View Post
and that it is caused by humans?
It wasn't in the past and there hasn't been a successful link drawn directly between human activity now and what is happening to the climate. In fact there is a lot of doubt and uncertainty that we even know what is happening in the climate at the moment.

Again, there is too much uncertainty for this to be a proven thing, so the only honest answer to this one is that we just don't know. Even the UK Royal Society's new 'advice' on climate change now accepts a lot of uncertainty - not enough though.

And they get their statement wrong about how long CO2 exists in the atmosphere anyway. Clever chaps those.

One rather, IMHO, dishonest trait is that links are accepted between some weather consequences (e.g. Pakistan floods) which support the warming case, and are denied (e.g. European cold snap last winter) when they don't support the case. i.e. "The weather is not the climate" only seems to count one way.

Quote:
Originally Posted by NeilBlanchard View Post
If you do not believe in the Theory of Gravity, will you float away?
Gravity is both a law and a theory. The law part is demonstrated when you drop something it falls to the earth. The theory part is attempting to explain why this happens. But it is a law, otherwise sat-nav wouldn't work and clearly it does - well mostly.
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