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Originally Posted by RedDevil
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Originally Posted by oil pan 4
that's why only 12% of voters are stupid enough to think that making the government bigger and putting them in charge of fixing global warming is a good idea.
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It is good no?
If only 12% get it it means 88% is stupid. |
"I think what we have here is a failure to communicate."
Roscoe P. Coltrane
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Insolight solar shows solar cells that have high-efficiency cells covering 5% of the panel, with optical concentrators over them, for an overall 30% efficiency.
https://duckduckgo.com/?q=insolight+solar
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While they're spinning those 80-year predictions, this paper was just released:
Environmental Research Letters
ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT • The following article is Open access
Year-ahead predictability of South Asian Summer Monsoon precipitation
https://iopscience.iop.org/article/1...48-9326/ab006a
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Abstract
Since the South Asia Summer Monsoon is the main source of water for a densely cultivated and climate-sensitive region, its predictability has long been the target of research. This work estimates the predictability horizon of monsoon precipitation amount by systematically comparing statistical forecasts made using information from different lead times before the monsoon start. Linear and nonlinear prediction methods are considered that use the leading modes of the global sea surface temperature field to forecast monsoon-season (June-September) total precipitation on a 0.5 degree grid over South Asia, where each method is trained on data from 1901-1996 and evaluated on data from 1997-2017. Forecasts were found to outperform a climatology baseline up to at least 1 year ahead, with a nonlinear method (random forest) on average outperforming linear regression with group lasso, although with greater variability in skill across locations and years. Forecast performance measures (fractional reduction in root mean square error and information skill score) decreased with increasing lead time following exponential decay timescales of 5-12 months, depending on the performance measure and forecast method. Even at lead times of several years, there was some forecast skill compared to climatology, as a result of the impact of long-term climate change on monsoon precipitation. The results suggest that monsoon prediction is possible with longer lead times than generally attempted now.
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