[Taylor95]

Originally Posted by RedDevil

Anyway, about that slow death...
https://cleantechnica.com/2019/02/23...sh-gasmobiles/

Electric lighting was more expensive than gas lighting, but after a gradual start it zapped them off the market.
Black and white TV's were cheaper than color TV's but disappeared.
You hardly see non-smart mobile phones anymore, even though they are still cheaper and only need charging once in a few weeks.

How long will it take for cars? When will EV's become disruptive?

Disruptive technologies bring new market leaders out of nothing.
PC's paved the way for Microsoft.
Internet shopping gave us Amazon.
The internet as a whole: Google, Facebook, etc.
Apple was all but dead, but the iPod and iPhone made them one of the biggest companies in the world.
Many of today's biggest companies got there by riding the surf of disruptive technology.

Afterwards it is easy to recognize what caused them to be so successful.
At the time many predicted they'd struggle to survive, and nobody noticed the huge potential.
It is happening again, this time it is EVs and Tesla.

This will not happen for reasons I outlined in my first post. If there was a natural disaster in an world that exclusively relied on electricity, how will you get power to those vehicles in the disrupted area? How will cleanup and repair work? It is not feasible to transport electricity.

We would also need a way to produce 30-50% more electricity in order to power all those vehicles. Presumably that is without energy coming from fossil fuels, which make up over half of our electricity. So we would need to produce about 300-350% more energy from other sources in order to make that scenario feasible. Not to mention redo the whole grid to support that kind of energy. That seems like a big hurdle to overcome. *those percentages are based on current electricity consumption in the US