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I'd need to see the data to have an opinion on the kill rate of autonomous systems. It needs to factor in the "save rate" to give an accurate picture.
Level 4 autonomous driving is a minimum of a decade out in my estimation. That said, it's coming, and investments need to be made to stay in the game long term. It's unclear to me if Tesla's investment into self-driving has made the company as successful as it is today, or is holding them back from getting the basics down; selling large quantities of vehicles profitably.
There's only so many R&D projects a company can support simultaneously, and eventually some of those projects need to be converted into profits.
I'm probably most excited to see Tesla big-rigs on the road, followed by the pickup. Least excited to see the Y, but I hope it's a huge success.
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