View Single Post
Old 04-21-2020, 08:16 PM   #853 (permalink)
serialk11r
Master EcoModder
 
Join Date: Jan 2012
Location: United States
Posts: 1,756

spyder2 - '00 Toyota MR2 Spyder
Thanks: 104
Thanked 407 Times in 312 Posts
The hidden vaccine theory has a problem: Vaccine candidates can easily kill you. That's why extensive testing is necessary.

There are some people who have gotten a trial vaccine, but the risk of giving it to important officials is still too high.

My opinion is that the CFR is still 0.3-1.5% (obviously, age and underlying conditions add huge amounts of variance) based on the limited antibody studies available. At 0.3%, given antivirals can have serious side effects limiting the number of people who can take them, avigan or remdesivir need to show >75% efficacy to reopen the economy.

That's also assuming more data comes out supporting reinfection not being possible, or long term effects of infection being mild.

Last edited by serialk11r; 04-21-2020 at 08:22 PM..
 
The Following User Says Thank You to serialk11r For This Useful Post:
Xist (04-21-2020)