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I do it as a gauge to compare what people are saying to what the data is showing. It's imperfect, but the trends are important. When early information was suggesting a 2% fatality rate and a 60% infection rate to develop herd immunity, I quickly realized 4 million (US) dead might be a possibility. It seems information lately has been more positive in this regard.
Also, I'm toying with the terrible idea of market timing investments. Plus, a group of friends have created a $100 investment game. The winner with the biggest value at the expiration of the game buys everyone else Scotch. I like to win, but I might not mind 2nd place.
... the tracker I'm following suggests we'll hit 50k dead today. I'd love to be wrong, but that's 25% of my 18 month prediction.
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