View Single Post
Old 10-02-2020, 05:22 PM   #68 (permalink)
RustyLugNut
Master EcoModder
 
Join Date: Nov 2012
Location: San Diego, California
Posts: 982
Thanks: 271
Thanked 385 Times in 259 Posts
Thank you for the reasonable discussion.

Quote:
Originally Posted by redpoint5 View Post
If I were janitor at church, I'd be plugging in while cleaning.

I'm not saying it's the perfect solution for everyone, I'm saying low income people are better served by used EVs when they can accommodate them.

Oregon has a $2,500 credit for used EVs to qualifying low/middle income purchasers. That means you can get a $4,500 used EV for ~$2k.

Prices will continue to decline as EVs continue to age, and the newer gen age into the older gen. The Bolt EV is about 4 years old now and not regarded as cutting edge any more. Leases are coming up, and GM has slashed prices to about $25k. I expect to see very good deals in a year or 2 on these 250 mile range EVs.

Just think what will be available 15 years from now when this regulation is supposedly to take effect. The EV industry in reality has only existed for 9 years so far.
But, you do live in another state. The real estate market drives our transportation problems, here in California.

I have family and friends who work in San Francisco, Los Angeles and San Diego. But, due to the high cost of living, they drive an hour or more from surrounding areas east of the metropolis they work in because housing is more affordable. Freeways are full of clunkers as people do what they have to do.

Should we see EVs selling for 2000 on the used market in the future? Maybe. Probably. Will they be economical? Could be? Will the batteries be robust and long lived? Sure. Will you be able to get a replacement battery for a 15 year old car if there is a problem? If it is a Tesla, probably not. Tesla is moving to battery integration into the chassis. Guess they will throw the car out with the battery.

But, I trust the ingenuity of the capitalist. There will probably spring up a cottage industry to re-manufacture electric vehicles the way we do ICEs today.
  Reply With Quote