Quote:
Originally Posted by Piotrsko
But how far from statistical norms is it? I typically consider anything less than 1.5% to be random noise in the data
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They're not reporting anything besides a 'historic' event, based upon the extant database.
* The 'earliness' ( June/July ) of a CAT-5 storm 'is' a statistical outlier ( 15-days )
* The sea surface temperatures necessary to fuel the creation of a CAT-5 'are' a statistical outlier ( by 'two months' ).
* Timing of the 'rapid-intensification' 'is' a statistical outlier ( 48-hours )
* The strength of the storm ( CAT-5 ) is a statistical outlier.
The National Hurricane Prediction Center would be able to inform you where to look for any required comparison-related data.