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Old 07-03-2024, 10:38 AM   #1501 (permalink)
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Hurricane Beryl

Those watching the news may have picked up on Beryl's 'historic' nature:
For June/July, it's the 'earliest' ( by 15-days ), most powerful ( CAT-5 ), with 165-mph winds, rapidly-intensifying ( went from a 'Tropical Storm' to a major hurricane within 48-hours ), forming in water temperatures not normally seen until September.

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Old 07-04-2024, 09:34 AM   #1502 (permalink)
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But how far from statistical norms is it? I typically consider anything less than 1.5% to be random noise in the data
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Old 07-04-2024, 01:14 PM   #1503 (permalink)
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Quote:
But how far from statistical norms is it?
You'd expect the statistical norms to be skewed during an event like the collapse of the Earth's magnetosphere and pole shift.

Which is happening now.

Edit: Climate scientists can't agree on how warm it is -- Sabine Hossenfelder
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Old Yesterday, 11:25 AM   #1504 (permalink)
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'statistical norm '

Quote:
Originally Posted by Piotrsko View Post
But how far from statistical norms is it? I typically consider anything less than 1.5% to be random noise in the data
They're not reporting anything besides a 'historic' event, based upon the extant database.
* The 'earliness' ( June/July ) of a CAT-5 storm 'is' a statistical outlier ( 15-days )
* The sea surface temperatures necessary to fuel the creation of a CAT-5 'are' a statistical outlier ( by 'two months' ).
* Timing of the 'rapid-intensification' 'is' a statistical outlier ( 48-hours )
The National Hurricane Prediction Center would be able to inform you where to look for any required comparison-related data.
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Old Yesterday, 11:27 AM   #1505 (permalink)
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Sabine Hossenfelder

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Originally Posted by freebeard View Post
You'd expect the statistical norms to be skewed during an event like the collapse of the Earth's magnetosphere and pole shift.

Which is happening now.

Edit: Climate scientists can't agree on how warm it is -- Sabine Hossenfelder
'Claptrap'
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Old Yesterday, 11:46 AM   #1506 (permalink)
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Quote:
'Claptrap'
What? That's Sabine Hossenfelder, not Ben Davidson.

edit:
Episode 2527 CWSA 07/05/24
Quote:
58:54 ...you going to say but but Scott they're scientists and they care about
59:00 the truth that's exactly what your journalist would say we're journalists our job is to tell you the
59:07 truth with no spin just like the scientists unless our paycheck and our
59:14 lifestyle depends on it and then we're going to say what the narrative tells
59:19 us well it turns out that there are three papers recently Wide Awake media is reporting on this on next um and uh
59:29 there are three new papers that are peer-reviewed that uh collectively they say that 40% of what we observe as a
59:37 heat increase is really the heat island effect from thermometers being too near
59:43 uh cities that are building out in the direction of where the thermometers were in the first place 60% seems to match
59:51 perfectly solar activity ouch
59:57 ouch yikes ...
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Old Today, 05:16 PM   #1507 (permalink)
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We know the earth has been hotter. We dont know the particulars or what survived and why. We do know what died and became fossilized but that isn't everywhere.

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