07-03-2024, 10:38 AM
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#1501 (permalink)
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Hurricane Beryl
Those watching the news may have picked up on Beryl's 'historic' nature:
For June/July, it's the 'earliest' ( by 15-days ), most powerful ( CAT-5 ), with 165-mph winds, rapidly-intensifying ( went from a 'Tropical Storm' to a major hurricane within 48-hours ), forming in water temperatures not normally seen until September.
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07-04-2024, 09:34 AM
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#1502 (permalink)
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But how far from statistical norms is it? I typically consider anything less than 1.5% to be random noise in the data
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07-04-2024, 01:14 PM
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#1503 (permalink)
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Quote:
But how far from statistical norms is it?
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You'd expect the statistical norms to be skewed during an event like the collapse of the Earth's magnetosphere and pole shift.
Which is happening now.
Edit: Climate scientists can't agree on how warm it is -- Sabine Hossenfelder
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Last edited by freebeard; 07-04-2024 at 01:45 PM..
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Yesterday, 11:25 AM
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#1504 (permalink)
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'statistical norm '
Quote:
Originally Posted by Piotrsko
But how far from statistical norms is it? I typically consider anything less than 1.5% to be random noise in the data
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They're not reporting anything besides a 'historic' event, based upon the extant database.
* The 'earliness' ( June/July ) of a CAT-5 storm 'is' a statistical outlier ( 15-days )
* The sea surface temperatures necessary to fuel the creation of a CAT-5 'are' a statistical outlier ( by 'two months' ).
* Timing of the 'rapid-intensification' 'is' a statistical outlier ( 48-hours )
The National Hurricane Prediction Center would be able to inform you where to look for any required comparison-related data.
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Yesterday, 11:27 AM
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#1505 (permalink)
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Sabine Hossenfelder
Quote:
Originally Posted by freebeard
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'Claptrap'
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Yesterday, 11:46 AM
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#1506 (permalink)
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What? That's Sabine Hossenfelder, not Ben Davidson.
edit:
Episode 2527 CWSA 07/05/24
Quote:
58:54 ...you going to say but but Scott they're scientists and they care about
59:00 the truth that's exactly what your journalist would say we're journalists our job is to tell you the
59:07 truth with no spin just like the scientists unless our paycheck and our
59:14 lifestyle depends on it and then we're going to say what the narrative tells
59:19 us well it turns out that there are three papers recently Wide Awake media is reporting on this on next um and uh
59:29 there are three new papers that are peer-reviewed that uh collectively they say that 40% of what we observe as a
59:37 heat increase is really the heat island effect from thermometers being too near
59:43 uh cities that are building out in the direction of where the thermometers were in the first place 60% seems to match
59:51 perfectly solar activity ouch
59:57 ouch yikes ...
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Last edited by freebeard; Yesterday at 04:46 PM..
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Today, 05:16 PM
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#1507 (permalink)
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We know the earth has been hotter. We dont know the particulars or what survived and why. We do know what died and became fossilized but that isn't everywhere.
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casual notes from the underground:There are some "experts" out there that in reality don't have a clue as to what they are doing.
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