Quote:
Originally Posted by Piotrsko
@JSH: what are the industry plans for diesel power going away?
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Short term - gasoline. It is far easier to meet emission standards with a gasoline engine and even easier if you go naturally aspirated + a hybrid.
Also just more complicated diesel aftertreatment. CARB / EPA 27 will cost about $10k to $25k more for a diesel so the diesel take rate will likely drop a lot as commercial customers will look at total cost to own and you can buy a LOT of gasoline for $25k. Even now some sectors are rapidly shifting from diesel to gasoline in the medium duty segment
Longer term battery electric for local and regional. Even long haul current battery electric technology can work if you have enough chargers. Building out charging infrastructure is an economic / political problem not a technical one. Especially in place like the EU with stricter labor laws that allow for shorter driving hours per day and mandatory breaks every 4 hours
Long long term hydrogen fuel cell but only for applications that really need the energy density and fuel portability because the trucks cost more than battery electric and it takes 3x more electricity per mile to power a fuel cell truck vs a battery electric.