02-07-2014, 10:40 PM
|
#81 (permalink)
|
Master EcoModder
Join Date: Jun 2009
Location: SC Lowcountry
Posts: 1,796
Thanks: 226
Thanked 1,353 Times in 711 Posts
|
|
|
|
The Following User Says Thank You to redneck For This Useful Post:
|
|
Today
|
|
|
Other popular topics in this forum...
|
|
|
02-08-2014, 01:06 AM
|
#82 (permalink)
|
(:
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: up north
Posts: 12,762
Thanks: 1,585
Thanked 3,555 Times in 2,218 Posts
|
^Now THAT is what I was trying to say.
Useful, unlike prodding to see if Frank's plumbing is hooked up or not.
|
|
|
02-08-2014, 02:48 AM
|
#83 (permalink)
|
Master EcoModder
Join Date: Aug 2012
Location: northwest of normal
Posts: 28,528
Thanks: 8,077
Thanked 8,871 Times in 7,323 Posts
|
Quote:
What is this about "capacity". Have you not read anything I wrote? Quietude, congestion... ring a bell? QUALITY of life is as important or even moreso than QUANTITY. How far out in the sticks must I be forced to relocate...
Tell me about what purpose it serves to load 'er right up to full capacity. It must be awesome. This ought to be good.
How do you know when full capacity has been reached? ... When?
|
— 'Quality moreso than quantity' sounds different to 'we're at the 59th minute!"
— Sort of a Buddhist attitude of acceptance? Sex=babies, deal with it.
— One knows when full capacity has been reached because it's a failure mode, The whole planet looks like Saharasia.
_____
Quote:
Originally Posted by Xist
I will add that I read an article the other day stating that reducing populations leave fewer people to support the elderly, and it explained how much of the overall expense of medical costs go to senior citizens.
|
http://http://www.tradersnarrative.c...kets-4511.html
I can't find the best graphic representation of this—a stack of disks on each country, but this might give the idea. Wild swings in birth rate really hammer on life's support systems. Countries with half the population under 15 have different problems than counties where half the population is over 60.
If everyone was a vegan nudist wearing hemp sandals and living in a geodesic dome, we might just squeek by.
Frank Lee -- domes are acoustically insulative. When you'rte inside you have no idea what your redneck neighbors are up to.
|
|
|
02-08-2014, 03:58 AM
|
#84 (permalink)
|
(:
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: up north
Posts: 12,762
Thanks: 1,585
Thanked 3,555 Times in 2,218 Posts
|
Quite a disappointing response.
|
|
|
02-08-2014, 05:46 AM
|
#85 (permalink)
|
The PRC.
Join Date: Oct 2009
Location: Elsewhere.
Posts: 5,304
Thanks: 285
Thanked 536 Times in 384 Posts
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by Frank Lee
Hysterical is where you stop making sense. Have I done that?
|
Yes.
Unsubbed. Enjoy the malthus and the end of the world
Edit : One more I had in preview last night - If I stopped making sense then so has the WSJ, Time, Slate and Der Spiegel amongst hundreds of others.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Time
But it turns out the world’s population isn’t growing nearly as fast as it once did. In fact, experts say the rate of population growth will continue to slow and that the total population will eventually — likely within our lifetimes — fall
...
The U.S. has seemingly been immune to the declining-birthrate trend. But in 2011, the Pew Research Center found that the birthrate in the U.S. reached its lowest point ever recorded: 63.2 children per 1,000 women of childbearing age.
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by Slate
The world’s seemingly relentless march toward overpopulation achieved a notable milestone in 2012: Somewhere on the planet, according to U.S. Census Bureau estimates, the 7 billionth living person came into existence.
Lucky No. 7,000,000,000 probably celebrated his or her birthday sometime in March and added to a population that’s already stressing the planet’s limited supplies of food, energy, and clean water. Should this trend continue, as the Los Angeles Times noted in a five-part series marking the occasion, by midcentury, “living conditions are likely to be bleak for much of humanity.”
A somewhat more arcane milestone, meanwhile, generated no media coverage at all: It took humankind 13 years to add its 7 billionth. That’s longer than the 12 years it took to add the 6 billionth—the first time in human history that interval had grown. (The 2 billionth, 3 billionth, 4 billionth, and 5 billionth took 123, 33, 14, and 13 years, respectively.) In other words, the rate of global population growth has slowed. And it’s expected to keep slowing. Indeed, according to experts’ best estimates, the total population of Earth will stop growing within the lifespan of people alive today.
And then it will fall.
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by Spiegel
An entire generation grew up in a world in which everything was on the increase, from the world's population to mankind's consumption of energy, food and land. Fears of a "population bomb" were reflected in the things we learned in school.
To a certain extent, the fears are justified. The global population will continue to grow for decades. "But," says Wolfgang Lutz, "that shouldn't distract us from the fact that an entirely different development has been underway for some time." Lutz is the director of the Vienna-based International Institute for Applied System Analysis (IIASA) and one of the world's most prominent demographers. As he sees it, it is "highly probable that mankind will begin to shrink by 2060 or 2070."
It will be a global turning point. For the first time since the Black Death raged in the 14th century, the world's death rate will be higher than its birth rate
...
Lutz's message, that the population boom will come to an end, isn't necessarily a happy one. In addition to the old challenges, such as feeding the masses, there will also be new ones, such as caring for aging baby boomers. Instead of AIDS and malaria, medicine will be faced with the challenges of diabetes and dementia.
...
Only Pakistan, Afghanistan and the countries in sub-Saharan Africa are still reporting significantly higher birth rates. Niger leads the pack with a particularly impressive rate of seven children per woman. Indeed, by the end of the century, Africa is expected to be home to more than 2 billion people. But the demographic pendulum is shifting even there, as women begin to have fewer children.
|
The Spiegel article then goes on to describe the 5 stages of development which will lead to this. All forecasts but interesting anyway.
Part 2: Phase I: A People Before the Transformation
Part 3: Phase II: From the Masses to the Middle Classes
Part 4: Phase III: Booming Stock Markets and a Crisis in Delivery Rooms
Part 5: Phase IV: Emptying Out the Countryside
Part 6: Phase V: Mankind in Equilibrium
__________________
[I]So long and thanks for all the fish.[/I]
Last edited by Arragonis; 02-08-2014 at 07:14 AM..
|
|
|
02-08-2014, 09:54 AM
|
#86 (permalink)
|
Master EcoModder
Join Date: Oct 2012
Location: USA
Posts: 1,408
Thanks: 102
Thanked 252 Times in 204 Posts
|
I'm afraid you did stop making sense on this one Arragonis. Those graphs are all speculative (and show growth for a long time to come, which was franks point).
It's like saying "someone made a wild guess about future growth, yay we are saved!"
And bringing up Buddhism makes sense?!?
malthus wasn't falsified, the industrial revolution made 3 more test tubes of food.
Using population growth hides the real numbers and you know that is disingenuous.
|
|
|
02-08-2014, 10:11 AM
|
#87 (permalink)
|
Master EcoModder
Join Date: Oct 2012
Location: USA
Posts: 1,408
Thanks: 102
Thanked 252 Times in 204 Posts
|
Here is where you go completely bonkers Arragonis,
Goodbye growth?!? The growth in growth hasnt even stopped, and growth hasn't stopped. That picture doesn't make sense, ergo you are hysterical.
|
|
|
02-08-2014, 11:59 AM
|
#88 (permalink)
|
(:
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: up north
Posts: 12,762
Thanks: 1,585
Thanked 3,555 Times in 2,218 Posts
|
Re: Arrogonis: He does seem to have issues with chart interpretations.
You can lead a horse to water but you can't make him drink. He's got blinders on and simply can't see the total population numbers because he's so fixated on birth rates.
He said I stopped making sense when I posited why people cheer for population growth... yet said zero to refute it. I see nobody else has stepped up to the plate to do a good job of it either.
That he willfully chooses to not get it is not surprising; he has a lot of company.
Enjoy the congestion, pal.
|
|
|
02-08-2014, 12:13 PM
|
#89 (permalink)
|
(:
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: up north
Posts: 12,762
Thanks: 1,585
Thanked 3,555 Times in 2,218 Posts
|
Quote:
One more I had in preview last night - If I stopped making sense then so has the WSJ, Time, Slate and Der Spiegel amongst hundreds of others.
|
Yes, if spiegel can not even title their graph properly, they're probably wrong elsewhere too.
|
|
|
02-08-2014, 12:19 PM
|
#90 (permalink)
|
Master EcoModder
Join Date: Oct 2012
Location: USA
Posts: 1,408
Thanks: 102
Thanked 252 Times in 204 Posts
|
what about human behavior makes speculation/discussion about 2055 even remotely dignified?
Human's, smarter than bacteria, but they have a tremendously better survival track record. Too smart for our own good, possibly.
Worst . Thread . Ever.
|
|
|
|