I'm pretty sure its by season. from my gas logs, i've noticed a definite drop in mileage right around October-ish (winter blend), then mileage jumps right back up in March-ish (summer blend).
This tank that I am on right now is forecasted to hit 48mpg with no change in my driving habits. Previous tank before this was 44ish mpg.
• EPA regulates the volatility/Reid Vapor Pressure (RVP) of conventional gasoline sold at retail stations during the summer smog season (June 1-September 15) to reduce evaporative emissions that contribute to smog.
• Winter Oxygenated Fuel programs increase fuel oxygen and are mandated in certain areas for carbon monoxide control. The winter oxygenated fuel season is generally October through February or March.