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Old 10-28-2020, 10:40 PM   #221 (permalink)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by freebeard View Post
Black rifles are last year. Now it's AOWs, like the Honey Badger.

The ATF is testing the waters with restrictions on the import of foreign manufactured military caliber SBRs.
I just pay the $200 and do what ever I want.

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Old 10-29-2020, 12:21 PM   #222 (permalink)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by oil pan 4 View Post
You missed the discussion. Go back and find it.
I found it. It's #56 in this very thread. It probably didn't stick with me because it was surrounded by a multi-topic rant.

https://ecomodder.com/forum/showthre...tml#post633454
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Old 10-29-2020, 02:37 PM   #223 (permalink)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by oil pan 4
The Chinese communist party collected the virus, played with it and by hopefully and only by shear incompetence it got out. If it was an intentional the CCP needs to be purged from the face of the earth with the fastest most brutal methods possible.
The trails gone cold but IIRC the CCP claimed they got if from the U. S. military at the 2019 Military World Games in Wuhan, because they didn't want to admit that the research that was being carried out at Ft. Meade (and was declared too dangerous and shut down) was exfiltrated, and bungled, by them.
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Old 10-29-2020, 06:47 PM   #224 (permalink)
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The only problem with that is the US military never developed a bio weapon they didn't have the cure and countermeasures for.
So I might believe that if some how a large portion of US military was already immune or suddenly became immune to it over a weekend.
My sources all say they never had a plan, the plan changed 2 to 6 times a week early on and took weeks to even agree on a plan.
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Old 11-08-2020, 06:04 PM   #225 (permalink)
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No one's talking about how hot October was and all the "all time" records that were blown away.
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Old 11-08-2020, 08:50 PM   #226 (permalink)
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Here's a good one.
https://journals.ametsoc.org/jcli/ar...dFrom=fulltext

Decadal climate modeling needs a lot of work in the reliability department before before they can be considered useful for anything.
So if you just want to plan everything to be a doomsday scenario that never materializes they're fine.
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Last edited by oil pan 4; 11-08-2020 at 10:13 PM..
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Old 11-08-2020, 09:35 PM   #227 (permalink)
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Quote:
By analysing reliability for different forecast system ensembles, we further highlight the fact that the combination of models seems to play a more important role than the ensemble size of each individual forecast system. This is due to sampling different model errors related to model physics, numerics and initialisation approaches involved in the multi-model, allowing for a certain level of error compensation. Finally, this study demonstrates that all forecast system ensembles are affected by systematic biases and dispersion errors that affect the reliability.
Accuracy vs precision?

The whole country is learning about Benford's Law. Unbounded integer data sets are subject to meta-analysis.
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Old 11-08-2020, 10:13 PM   #228 (permalink)
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More like usefulness versus irrelevance.
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Old 11-10-2020, 10:16 PM   #229 (permalink)
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"01:46 but you know they got it wrong when the
01:48 label lasts longer than the shovel"
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Old 11-11-2020, 12:04 AM   #230 (permalink)
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Yeah new mexico got snow before maine this year.
And I'm not talking 10,000+ feet in the mountains.

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