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Old 03-14-2015, 08:14 AM   #201 (permalink)
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Originally Posted by oldtamiyaphile View Post
It's as relevant to me as the $17k Insight is to you.
Exactly ... which means your break even you did for yourself .. under the $47k ... only applies to new Australian I1.

In order to go as far as you did about your claim for all I1s ... your break even math would also have to be done with the $17k or $18k that someone else (out-side of Australia) paid for a new I1... That $30,000 difference changes the results of the 'new' break even point.

To go as far as all HEVs ... is an even larger thing.

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Originally Posted by IamIan
For the record .. I intended no cherry picking... But Honestly .. I also made no effort to do an extensive search... they were intended to show what they did show ... that Australia artificially raises the price of vehicles compares to the rest of the world .. 2x or even 3x is not unheard of , nor uncommon.
I believe this to be true, but it bares no impact on the discussion at hand, particularly since I've posted over and over that most cars are roughly on par with the US and some even cheaper.
It bares weight as long as you keep referencing the $47k Australian price... which as you agreed is only relevant as an artificial price increase in Australia.

No Honda made in Japan is priced in Australia on par with the same Made in Japan Honda priced in US ... none of them... Australia penalized the I1 to the tune of $30,000 .. that isn't the car itself ... it's Australia.

No Toyota made outside of Australia is priced on par with US .. none of them.

You have not shown ... "most are on par" ... because none of those are .. Australia is known to artificially inflate those prices... some more than others.

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Originally Posted by IamIan
They did keep it bellow that .. everywhere else on the planet.
Clearly not.
I request you back up you 'clearly not' claim ... show me any other non-Australian market that charged MSRP the $47k for the 2000 Insight.

Because Honda did clearly keep it bellow that $47k MSRP as I wrote ... everywhere else on the planet... The US they kept it bellow that ... the UK they kept it bellow that ... etc... etc.

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Originally Posted by oldtamiyaphile View Post
Honda themselves have stated the cars sold at a loss. I can't believe you don't know that. The only question is how much of a loss.
I've already replied to this before ... but I'll repeat myself.

AFAIK those claims are Honda including the R&D on the Insight .. than the benefits of that R&D get used 'for free' on other models .. It's a corporate tax paper work shuffle... it's isn't unique to Honda .. Many companies do something similar... and as I wrote ... I don't agree with that methodology... the price to make a car is only the price to make the car.

If you have a source that actually shows it is only the manufacture price alone that was soo high it was sold at a loss ... great ... post it.

Quote:
Originally Posted by oldtamiyaphile View Post
Even the current Japan built Hondas sell at a loss in the US.
#1> Current in 2012 has nothing to do with how profitable a car was in 2000.

#2> Read the source you sited ... It supports my HEV position and is actually against yours ... that article attributed it ... not to anything at all to do with the manufacturing of the cars ... or the technology in the cars ... Weather it was a HEV or not .. etc ... Which is exactly the point I've been making ... just the current exchange rate Yen to $.

#3> Your own article further explains why ... it is not a loss ... but a net gain for Honda to still do those imports ... "Honda needs the vehicles to keep segments covered and to keep its customers coming back to showrooms."

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Originally Posted by oldtamiyaphile View Post
Toyota have also stated the Prius sold at a loss (Even the million dollar plus Bugatti Veyron sold at a loss- selling at a loss isn't uncommon in the car industry - that's why GM & Chrysler had to be bailed out).
See above ... the 'loss' claim is not for just the manufacture of the vehicle.

See above ... spending $100 in order to make $200 ... is not a loss of $100 ... it is a net profit of $100... weather Toyota did it .. or Honda did it ... doing something that has a net profit is a net profit.

GM and others needed a bail out because of extremely bad upper management .. not because of cars being sold at a loss ... heck they flew private jets on the companies cost to go ask for government money... etc... etc.

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Old 03-14-2015, 09:43 AM   #202 (permalink)
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To go as far as all HEVs ... is an even larger thing.
Quote:
Originally Posted by oldtamiyaphile
But yes, today it's a bit different as the Camry Hybrid only adds $5k over the ICE models.

(In reference to G1)Now this I can fully appreciate...

In future, as ICE regs drive ever greater engine complexity, Hybrids may well become a way to keep engines simple and reliable.

In short, hybrids make sense if you can only manage to match the EPA figures, and only long term. If you can get 50%+ over EPA out of your petrol manual it seems a hybrid is going to be a tough sell.
I don't think I ever included all HEV's as being unjustifiable. Most of my general HEV comments have been pretty much in line with everyone else's. What I do disagree with is Gen1's being the poster boy for hybrids.

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IMO 1st gen Insights don't belong in the debate, as there are no alloy bodied, streamlined, two seat sub compact ICE cars to compare it to. It's probably closest to an Elio trike which gets (should it actually be built) similar numbers.

Quote:
It bares weight as long as you keep referencing the $47k Australian price... which as you agreed is only relevant as an artificial price increase in Australia.
Um, for whatever reason it took until post 150 for someone (you) to post the fact that the Gen1 was very cheap in the US. I think I even said it was a bargain.

Quote:
No Honda made in Japan is priced in Australia on par with the same Made in Japan Honda priced in US ... none of them... Australia penalized the I1 to the tune of $30,000 .. that isn't the car itself ... it's Australia.
The usual mark up for a Japanese car is around 30% (over the US price), that can easily be accounted for by costs associated with shipping, taxes and having a small market (the current top spec Insight is AU$35k here vs AU$31,500 in the US - the fact we've been paying US$5.80/gal only makes the hybrid case stronger here), which is what I mean when I say 'line-ball' it's not enough difference to have a multipage debate about . The Insight was marked up 100%, after you allow for taxes etc. For that we have no explanation. It was twice as expensive as the Japanese built Civic, for that we have no explanation.

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I request you back up you 'clearly not' claim ... show me any other non-Australian market that charged MSRP the $47k for the Insight.
To do that I would have to be able to speak every language in the world. But like I already said, a Fit costs near enough to $100k in Singapore. Do you really think the Insight was cheaper than a Fit?

There are plenty of countries where cars are far more expensive than they are here:

The Ten Most Expensive Places To Buy A Car

If the Insight was sold in any of these markets it would have cost more than our US$40k. There are no doubt dozens of other countries not nominated by Jalopnik readers. For reference the 86 costs US$24k here, that's $1600 more than in the US or what I would call 'line ball'.

Quote:
#1> Current in 2012 has nothing to do with how profitable a car was in 2000.

#2> Read the source you sited ... It supports my HEV position and is actually against yours ... that article attributed it ... not to anything at all to do with the manufacturing of the cars ... or the technology in the cars ... Weather it was a HEV or not .. etc ... Which is exactly the point I've been making ... just the current exchange rate Yen to $.

#3> Your own article further explains why ... it is not a loss ... but a net gain for Honda to still do those imports ... "Honda needs the vehicles to keep segments covered and to keep its customers coming back to showrooms."
I'm not trying to 'prove' anything that's false. All I wanted to say is it's not uncommon to sell vehicles at a loss. You state repeatedly that it wasn't sold at a loss, that it represents future investment etc. But many companies loose money on every vehicle they sell. Neither you or I have the data to back up our positions either way, but in 2013 Ford and GM (Europe) lost over $1000 on every vehicle they sold:

Porsche emerges as world

Selling at an outright loss happens. It's not exclusive to HEV's, but it happens. We do know Honda admitted to selling at a loss, how much and how they justified that loss is all that's up for debate.
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Old 03-14-2015, 11:19 AM   #203 (permalink)
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Originally Posted by oldtamiyaphile View Post
What I note from the Spritmonitor figures is that the best Civic beats the best Insight by over half a litre. There are also 6 Civic's beating your own Insight. Of the Insights, there are only three cars beating your Insight.

This is what I said right at the start, hybrids make less sense to hypermilers as ICEs leave more on the table. Hybrids make more sense to regular joe's who only know how to mash one pedal or the other. Personally, my T5 TDI beats the NEDC city cycle by 35% even with a commute that can be as slow as 14km/h. This is without turning off the engine at all, no EOC, no mods, unless you count a cracked cylinder head (the cracked head looses about 1/2 litre of diesel per tank). I have no doubt that most of us would beat the official numbers of the Civic by some margin.
There are lots of reasons why the comparison is warped.

1. You cannot really compare diesel to gas by volume as diesel is 20% heavier than gas.
2. You cannot really compare a diesel engine to a gas engine as the theoretical maximal efficiency of a diesel engine is significantly higher.
3. The top seed of that diesel list IS a hypermiler, I happen to know he has a long commute that starts with some 12 miles of 35 mph rural road so he can keep going all the time. He also has a very long commute.
See his garage. He gets very good FE on his other cars too.
He got 4.1 l/100 km from the Civic hybrid, so he beats me with that too - even while the civic is less economical than my Insight.
It is the man, not the car doing that.
4. My commute is less long and I had to do the school run and stuff on top of it.
I try to hypermile but I generally start every day with a big loss.
Anyone who beats me is either trying harder or has better conditions. commute.
5. Diesels are typically bought by long distance drivers, and long distance drives get better economy than short distance drivers.
6. Hybrids typically have good FE in town, so they are typically bougght by people who do a lot of that. But lots of town driving hurts FE.
7. When you do a statistical analysis, you cannot draw conclusions on cases put up after the data is known.
If you look at the extremes you are doing just that.
And they are extremes - look how far they deviate from the average.

And about your point of hypermiling a hybrid:
Wayne Gerdes can beat my economy in an old Accord, we've seem that.
He may even be able to beat my economy in an Accord if he has to drive along with me on my commute (though I doubt he would).
But he sure beat his Accord economy more than twofold in the first gen Insight.
I have pointed out before that our own Ecomodder garage confirms that hybrids can be hypermiled.
Yes, some of the 350 gas cars in that beat their EPA by more than 100%
The top of the list of 26 hybrids is not that spectacular, if we first remove Planetaires car and maybe some first gens.
(but as I said before you should nnot look at the extremes)
If the ecomodder hybrid garage had anywhere near as many cars as the gasoline car garage has, there would definitely be a few that come close to 100% over EPA.

The average economy of the ecomodder garage is hugely in favor of the hybrids.
That is a hypermilers average.

People buy hybrids for a purpose.
To have a smooth and responsive auto tranny (like my dad).
To get good economy in the city.
To get good economy on a middle sized commute, where the diesel road tax is still probihitive but ordinary gas cars waste too much (like me)
To save the earth (those people cause a severe drop in average FE for the car type).

Any comparison willalways be thwarted in one way or another.
If you are bent to find data that confirms your beliefs you will find it.
I have no trouble finding data that confirms mine.
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Old 03-14-2015, 11:53 AM   #204 (permalink)
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[QUOTE=RedDevil;471658]
2. You cannot really compare a diesel engine to a gas engine as the theoretical maximal efficiency of a diesel engine is significantly higher.[QUOTE]

Then you may as well say you cannot compare a hybrid to an ICE as the theoretical maximum efficiency HEV is 'significantly' higher. In actual fact, I'd suggest petrol+hybrid comes out about even to a diesel only.

Quote:
7. When you do a statistical analysis, you cannot draw conclusions on cases put up after the data is known.
If you look at the extremes you are doing just that.
And they are extremes - look how far they deviate from the average.
By looking at the extremes I'm picking what the cars are capable of when the owner is trying. I'm not interested in the 'average' as they don't represent me. My Fiat would be third on Spritmonitor, at 4.7 even though the average is 6.05. My Kangoo would be second, my TDI struggles a bit in city use but would make 4th at 7.9 vs the 9.9 average. I do nothing but city driving with average commutes as slow as 14km/h. I don't believe the average is representative of results I or many of us would get. Heck even my Off road use only Wrangler on big all terrain tyres would scrape into second.

If the average represents the average driver and all my cars come out in the top four, I'd expect my hypothetical Civic diesel to also score in the top few places and thereby beat the hybrid.

Quote:
Any comparison willalways be thwarted in one way or another.
If you are bent to find data that confirms your beliefs you will find it.
I have no trouble finding data that confirms mine.
Pretty much. I'm hardly crazy about diesel either
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Old 03-14-2015, 03:11 PM   #205 (permalink)
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When people buy one of the above, cost of ownership isn't on the radar...
So why do you think cost of ownership is on the radar for those of us who bought the Gen1 Insight, or the early Prius &c? Not to brag or anything, but if it weren't for my ingrained frugality (and lack of any desire to look like a complete prat), I could likely buy any of those luxury SUVs, and keep them fueled. I didn't buy the Insight to save money, much though I appreciate what it has saved me (frugality again :-)): I did it to cut my use of gasoline, for political & environmental reasons.

Another reason is that by being an early adopter of new technology, I can help bring the cost down and allow its widespread adoption. Same reason I had (and still have) some of the first CFLs (before they all became the modern curly style), and why I'm gradually replacing those with LEDs.

Quote:
There are plenty of countries where cars are far more expensive than they are here:
Sure, and in every one of them the price includes a hefty chunk of taxes & import duties.

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Old 03-14-2015, 04:34 PM   #206 (permalink)
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If the average represents the average driver and all my cars come out in the top four, I'd expect my hypothetical Civic diesel to also score in the top few places and thereby beat the hybrid.
Very well, so a hybrid does not make sense - in your case, for your driving style.

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Pretty much. I'm hardly crazy about diesel either
Or maybe it does make sense then ?

I heard a Peugeot diesel go by the other day.
It purred like a cat. It sounded happy. It was noisy, but a good noise.
I would buy that for the sound alone, but I fear I would regret it.
My '86 Golf (Rabbit) never sounded nice, nor did it drive nicely.

I test drove a Seat Ibiza ST 3 -cyl 1.2 TDI ecodiesel, expecting to buy it, but decided I could not live with it.
After the test drive my own Almera that I was trying to ged rid off suddenly felt nice, I was glad to be back in it.
After test driving the Jazz Hybrid, and later the Insight, the Almera felt like a big step back.

One good way to judge a car is what your own car feels like after the test drive
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Old 03-14-2015, 08:15 PM   #207 (permalink)
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I don't think I ever included all HEV's as being unjustifiable.
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Originally Posted by oldtamiyaphile
So if asked 'Do hybirds make sense?' your answer is basically, 'As long as someone else pays for them', since you're actually driving a car that will never pay for itself.
Looks to me like you did that kind of thing.
- - - - -
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Originally Posted by oldtamiyaphile View Post
Um, for whatever reason it took until post 150 for someone (you) to post the fact that the Gen1 was very cheap in the US. I think I even said it was a bargain.
you got it backwards ... it is very , unusually more expensive in Australia... more than US.. more than Canada... more than UK ... etc... I think it's a pitty ... That Australia chose to penalize and discourage sales of that vehicle soo much.
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But like I already said, a Fit costs near enough to $100k in Singapore. Do you really think the Insight was cheaper than a Fit?
I think what penalties a country imposes on a vehicle ... be it Australia on the Gen1 or Singapore on the Fit ... or others ... has very little to do with what it costs to manufacture the vehicle.
Quote:
Originally Posted by oldtamiyaphile View Post
You state repeatedly that it wasn't sold at a loss, that it represents future investment etc.
My claim is a bit different than that ... I claim it wasn't sold at a loss compared to the cost to manufacture it ... don't add the additional 'future investment' part ... that isn't part of my claim.

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Originally Posted by oldtamiyaphile View Post
but in 2013 Ford and GM (Europe) lost over $1000 on every vehicle they sold:
That is still not a loss based on the cost of manufacture vs the sale price.

For example:
If throwing $100 Million more into advertising only generates $10 Million in more sales ... that is a $90 Million advertising loss ... but that loss $ ... gets rolled into the 'per vehicle' margin ... when ... from my PoV ... that is not a cost to manufacture the vehicle.

Quote:
Originally Posted by oldtamiyaphile View Post
We do know Honda admitted to selling at a loss, how much and how they justified that loss is all that's up for debate.
See my previous disagreement about this interpretation you repeat... unless you have new evidence to present.
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Old 03-14-2015, 09:36 PM   #208 (permalink)
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I heard a Peugeot diesel go by the other day.
It purred like a cat. It sounded happy. It was noisy, but a good noise.
That's just the problem, from my point of view. I don't want to hear diesels going by - I have enough of that from the dickhead neighbor's diesel pickup. Not that I particularly want to hear petrol engines going by, either, but unless de-mufflered they seem to run a lot quieter than diesels.

But going back to somewhere near the beginning of this, diesel and hybrid aren't mutually exclusive. Put an appropriately-sized diesel in an existing hybrid, or add a hybrid system to a diesel-engined vehicle, and you will see a significant jump in fuel economy. There are diesel hybrids out there: everything from UPS delivery trucks to earthmoving equipment: How 3 diesel-electric and hybrid construction machines are waging war on wasted energy | Equipment World | Construction Equipment, News and Information | Heavy Construction Equipment
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Old 03-14-2015, 09:55 PM   #209 (permalink)
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Very well, so a hybrid does not make sense - in your case, for your driving style.
My fairly extreme city driving should give a HEV it's best chance.

My TDI let's me nail the throttle to the point of wheelspin and still beat the official figures, with 400Nm, that's good fun. The sound is pretty nice under load too. The Kangoo diesel also drove well, but I bought the petrol (which doesn't drive that well).

My concerns around modern diesels are related to DPF related issues in city use and particulate pollution.
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Old 03-14-2015, 10:03 PM   #210 (permalink)
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you got it backwards ... it is very , unusually more expensive in Australia... more than US.. more than Canada... more than UK ... etc... I think it's a pitty ... That Australia chose to penalize and discourage sales of that vehicle soo much.
It wasn't Australia that penalized the G1, it was Honda Australia. Keep in mind it cost over double the Civic.

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