Cosmic Catastrophe

[aerohead]

Originally Posted by redneck

Budget constraints ? It seems you’re making excuses for them for not showing the historical trend in sea rise levels.

I found it in less than a minute. Unfortunately, it only goes back to 1992 when the satellite first started taking measurements.



It shows a steady incline. No sudden changes. No sudden rise. No hockey stick.

But guess what. They have already adjusted data for at least one variable. And a significant one at that.

In one of the previous locked threads I posted a article that said they had a serious problem with the algorithm programmed in the first satellite’s measurement equipment and that the data may need to be scrapped. But, adjust they did.

So, who even knows if the baseline or the new algorithm is correct.

Just remember ...

Data can be manipulated.

Just like votes...




>

.

Like I said, we don't have enough reliable data to calculate back to the beginning of the Industrial Revolution. Earth is not what is was back then.
If you've kept abreast of the research, you will already know that.
You have access to the general circulation models right now. It's either 36,000-lines of code, or 36,000-pages of code. I don't have that figure with me.
I believe most of the data is in the public domain as well, and has been.
If you'd like to run the numbers, to satisfy yourself that bad actors haven't cooked the books, you're absolutely free to pursue that. Full transparency.
It's actually the only way to have a first-order-reality experience with it. Otherwise, you're leaving it up to the experts, and the other experts who checked the experts work.
For myself, I'm happy to defer to the experts.

[aerohead]

Here's one link to a computer model used by climate scientists.
For this particular model, it runs to 18,000- pages of printed text.
https://www.carbonbrief.org/qa-how-d...te-models-work

[freebeard]

Originally Posted by TFA

The code in global climate models is typically written in the programming language Fortran. Developed by IBM in the 1950s, Fortran was the first “high-level” programming language. This means that rather than being written in a machine language – typically a stream of numbers – the code is written much like a human language.

18,000 pages? How many lines per page? Where do they find Fortan programmers in this day and age?

[aerohead]

Originally Posted by freebeard

18,000 pages? How many lines per page? Where do they find Fortan programmers in this day and age?

* I've no idea. I never kept any from college ( they didn't have IBM 360s one could take home at the time).
* We were required to learn Fortran-4 when I was at Texas Tech. There was one computer center for the whole university. The business college had some desktops, but they used BASIC or some other language.
* Perhaps we have some members who are up on who's learning Fortran today.
I hadn't heard that word mentioned until the movie, 'Hidden Figures' came out.

[freebeard]

Quoth DuckDuckGo:

39,000+ Fortran Programmer jobs in United States (1,525 new)
https://www.linkedin.com/jobs/fortran-programmer-jobs
Today's top 39,000+ Fortran Programmer jobs in United States. Leverage your professional network, and get hired. New Fortran Programmer jobs added daily.

20 Best fortran programmer jobs (Hiring Now!) | SimplyHired
https://www.simplyhired.com/search?q=fortran+programmer
Programming experience in low-level languages, such as C or FORTRAN. Working with a team of bright and motivated statisticians and programmers on all aspects of… Estimated: $110,000 - $150,000 a year Scientific Programmer - ICESat-2 (NASA GSFC)

To answer my own question, GPT-3 can write code by itself.

[aerohead]

looks like AI continues to evolve. Ex Machina!

[freebeard]

OTOH all it does is spew out spaghetti code.

[Piotrsko]

C and all of it's iterations is the base procedure code of fortran with added file handling options. If you can write C, you can write fortran with minor effort, and ditto for the reverse. I don't write fortran because I cant recurse, I'm a stepper. C++ doesn't need recursion.

[aerohead]

This caused my remaining synapse to fire.
For 2015, New Line Cinema, Village Roadshow, and Warner Brothers released the motion picture, ' SAN ANDREAS', written by Andre Fabrizio and Jeremy Passmore.
Actor Paul Giamatti played the character, Dr. Lawrence Hayes, Professor of Seismology, at California Institute of Technology ( CALTECH ), who, along with his colleague had come up with a hypothesis linking 'magnetic pulse rate' with earthquake occurrence.
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The director of the film mentioned ' unproven theories' about earthquakes, and that seismologists at the University of California at Los Angeles ( UCLA )' Earth, Planetary & Earth Sciences college of Geophysics, had consulted on the film, as Cal Tech had consulted on the 1951 motion picture, 'The Day The Earth Stood Still' ( chalkboard calculations on both films represented respective, state-of-the-art mathematical models for their particular disciplines ).
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If you go the the UCLA website today, under Geophysics, you find that the university IS involved with 'magnetics' and magnetometers, however, those activities are limited to space-probes around the solar system, not Earth. There is no specific mention of 'magnetism' associated with any of their terrestrial seismological research.

[freebeard]

Does IEEE pass muster?

https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/abstract...uthors#authors

Abstract:
Recent studies reported that the diurnal variation of the geomagnetic field exhibited anomalous characteristics several months before earthquakes (EQs). However, the statistical significance of such anomalies detected using the diurnal variation range ratio (DVRR) method still requires verification as only a limited number of EQs occurring in certain seismoactive zones were included. In this study, the DVRR method was employed in conjunction with the superposed epoch analysis (SEA) to perform a large-scale study....